St. Louis, Missouri
October 11, 2002
Monsanto Company (NYSE:
MON) today announced that a continued decline in sales of
Roundup herbicide in the United States, coupled with
lower-than-expected sales in Argentina, would reduce its earlier
earnings projection for 2002. Full-year 2002 earnings per share
(EPS) are expected to be in the range of $1.15 to $1.23,
compared with previous EPS guidance of approximately $1.50.
As previously announced, this guidance excludes reserves for
potentially uncollectible receivables in Argentina of 38 cents
per share and for restructuring costs projected to be
approximately 32 cents per share for the year.
Despite the reduction in the earnings outlook, the company
expects to meet its earlier projection for free cash flow in the
range of $400 million to $460 million in 2002. Improvements in
working capital will be the primary contributor to the
generation of free cash, which consists of cash flow from
operations less cash used for investing activities.
U.S. Roundup Business
Unusually dry weather in the Midwest and drought conditions in
the Plains have reduced the growth of weeds and thus the need
for herbicides through the summer and early fall. Monsanto's
sales of Roundup herbicide for weed control in Roundup Ready
crops during the summer were particularly hurt by these
conditions. For the full year, sales volumes of Roundup will be
down approximately 4 million to 6 million gallons. This loss
will reduce earnings by 20 cents to 25 cents per share for the
full year. Beyond the dry weather, current indications are that
the Roundup business is performing as expected in a post-patent
environment.
Latin American Operations
In mid-June, the company announced actions that would reduce the
risks of doing business in Latin America, particularly Brazil
and Argentina. These actions were expected to reduce full-year
EPS by approximately 75 cents per share. Of that amount, 21
cents took effect in the second quarter. Monsanto now expects
that a larger percentage of the sales in Argentina will be made
on a cash rather than a grain basis, but at risk-adjusted
prices. This further decline in sales is expected to reduce EPS
by an additional 7 cents to 10 cents for the year. However, the
increase from Latin American cash-based sales also will reduce
receivables in Argentina by $50 million to $75 million from the
$450 million of year-end receivables previously projected for
2002.
As discussed above, earlier this year Monsanto established a
reserve of 38 cents per share for bad debts associated with
receivables in Argentina that were affected by a government tax
on agricultural exports. Charges are being made against this
reserve as appropriate, and the company believes this level of
reserve is adequate for the year.
Third- and Fourth-Quarter Outlook
Third-quarter results are expected to be in the range of 39
cents to 44 cents worse than last year's loss of 15 cents per
share for the quarter, excluding special items in the third
quarter of both years. The third-quarter 2002 results will
reflect the effect of the actions in Latin America, plus the
reduced sales of Roundup in the United States. Free cash flow
for the first nine months of 2002 is expected to be
significantly better than free cash flow in the same period last
year.
Monsanto's business in the fourth quarter will include sales of
seeds and biotechnology traits in the United States as customers
prepare for the 2003 growing season. U.S. agricultural
distributors also traditionally begin stocking the Roundup
family of agricultural products in the fourth quarter in
anticipation of the upcoming spring season. This year, many of
those customers are expected to switch to Monsanto's new Roundup
WeatherMAX, which is a unique, proprietary formulation of
Roundup with improved performance for the farmer.
Monsanto will provide further information on the outlook for
2002 when it reports third-quarter earnings on Oct. 30. The
company is not providing earnings guidance for 2003 at this
time.
Monsanto Company is a leading global supplier of
technology-based solutions and agricultural products that
improve farm productivity and food quality.
References to Roundup
products in this release mean Roundup branded and other
glyphosate-based herbicides, excluding lawn and garden products.
|