Chicago, Illinois
August 15, 2003
Fitch Ratings has
affirmed Monsanto Company's
(Monsanto) 'A-' senior unsecured debt rating, 'A-' bank loan
rating and 'F2' commercial paper rating. The ratings apply to
approximately $1.44 billion of outstanding debt. The Rating
Outlook is Stable.
Monsanto's
ratings account for potential liabilities that may be assumed by
the company in the event that Solutia Inc. (Solutia) is unable
to meet their obligations. The liabilities include a portion of
Solutia's other post-retirement employee benefits (OPEBs),
underfunded by $744 million at the end of 2002, environmental
remediation costs, estimated at $30-$40 million annually, and
the legacy polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) litigation,
concentrated in three main cases with the final settlement
amount yet to be determined. Fitch anticipates the credit
profile to remain consistent to the current rating category in
the intermediate term. However, Fitch will consider the
company's ability to manage the cascading liabilities in the
event of restructuring of Solutia, with particular emphasis on
PCB litigation as more certainty is determined regarding the
timing and amount of the final settlement of the two primary
cases.
The PCB
contamination litigation is currently the responsibility of
Solutia due to the 1997 distribution agreement between Solutia
and what is now Pharmacia. Through an amendment to the
agreement, made as part of the August 2002 spinout of Monsanto
from Pharmacia, Monsanto indemnifies Pharmacia from these legacy
liabilities. PCB contamination damage awards in Anniston, AL are
presently being considered in the Abernathy class action case
(with current focus on property damage, cleanup and mental
anguish). The Tolbert case will start in October. Fitch
anticipates an appeal of the final judgments, further
lengthening the litigation process. An agreement between
Monsanto, Solutia and Pharmacia, states that Pharmacia will post
a bond to stay the execution of any judgment in the Abernathy
case if Solutia does not, however, no such commitment exists for
the Tolbert case.
The ratings
also reflect Monsanto's strong liquidity and cash flow
generation, commitment to reduction of reliance on commercial
paper borrowings, debt reduction, and high brand recognition and
loyalty. Adherence to Monsanto's conservative financial policy
resulted in the generation of free cash flow much greater than
forecasted in 2002. The company projects free cash flow at the
end of 2003 to be in the range of $350-$400 million, and at the
end of the second quarter free cash flow generation was ahead of
the pace set in 2002. The company continues to make positive
steps in controlling the seasonal effects on total debt, due to
a fluctuating receivables balance, through third-party funding
mechanisms for its customers, a larger cash balance, and a shift
of the capital structure to long-term obligations and away from
commercial paper borrowings. At the end of the second quarter,
Monsanto had no commercial paper outstanding. Leverage as
measured by total debt-to-EBITDA was 1.3 times (x) and interest
coverage as measured by EBITDA-to-interest incurred was
approximately 15.3x for the last 12 months at June 30, 2003.
Fitch
continues to monitor the progress of shifting the majority of
gross profit contribution from the Roundup/glyphosate franchise
to the seeds and genomics business, expected to occur in the
2003/2004 timeframe Monsanto continues to see declines in the
Roundup/glyphosate franchise revenues and profitability due to
increasing competition from generic glyphosate manufacturers,
but is managing market share erosion through new product
formulations, a high level of brand name recognition and
loyalty, and an extensive bulk glyphosate distribution network.
The Roundup family of products contributed greater than 39% of
total 2002 revenues.
Monsanto is a
provider of herbicides, conventional and hybrid seeds, and
genetically modified seeds and traits to the agricultural
industry. The company holds leading positions in the glyphosate
herbicide market and in seeds and biotechnology traits.
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