Lincoln, Nebraska
August 13, 2004
Source: Crop Watch News
Service
University of Nebraska
Institute of Agriculture and Natural Resources Cooperative
Extension
Hybrid-Maize
is a user-friendly computer program that simulates the growth
and yield of corn under non-limiting or water-limited (i.e.
irrigated or rainfed) conditions based on daily weather data.
This software is the result of a long-term interdisciplinary
research program in the UNL Department of Agronomy and
Horticulture to understand corn and soybean yield potential. The
purpose of this simulation model is to allow maize producers,
crop consultants, and researchers to hypothetically explore the
impact of weather and management changes on crop performance so
that they might better understand site yield potential,
year-to-year variation in yield potential, and possible
management options that affect yield and yield stability. As
with all modern decision aids, Hybrid-Maize represents a
simplification of the 'real-world' system and, as such, its
predictions may differ from actual outcomes. So far,
Hybrid-Maize has been evaluated primarily in rainfed and
irrigated corn systems in the U.S. Corn Belt, where it has shown
great potential for predicting corn growth and yields.
Hybrid-Maize
allows users to:
-
assess the overall site yield potential and
its variability based on historical weather data;
-
evaluate how different combinations of
planting date, hybrid maturity, and plant density can change
the attainable yield;
-
analyze corn yield in relation to the timing
of silking and maturity in specific years;
-
explore options for optimal irrigation
management; and
-
conduct in-season simulations to evaluate
actual growth up to the current date based on real- time
weather data, and to forecast final yield scenarios based on
historical weather data for the remainder of the growing
season. Use these predictions to make adjustments in
irrigation and nitrogen management.
The software does not yet allow assessment of
different options for nutrient management nor does it account
for yield losses due to weeds, insects, diseases, lodging, and
other stresses. Hybrid- Maize allows utilizing real-time and
long-term weather that are available to many producers in
Nebraska through the online subscription services of the
High Plains Regional Climate Center. Through the HPRRC,
daily weather data can be directly accessed for numerous
locations in Nebraska and neighboring states (see a map of
locations at (http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/awdn/awdn_station_loc.html).
For more
information visit the
Hybrid-Maize Model Web or email Haishun Yang, one of the
project authors, at
hyang2@unl.edu.
Lincoln, Nebraska
August 25, 2004
University of Nebraska-Lincoln news release
A user-friendly computer program
that simulates corn growth and yields to help producers make
better management decisions now is available from the
University of Nebraska-Lincoln.
The simulation software, called Hybrid-Maize, combines
field-specific information with historical weather data and
planting information to predict crop yields. Users essentially
can play "what if" by changing variables to see how weather or
management changes influence crop performance.
The software is the result of ongoing interdisciplinary research
to better understand corn and soybean yield potential, said Soil
Scientist Achim Dobermann, who helped develop the program in
collaboration with agronomy and horticulture department
colleagues Haishun Yang, Ken Cassman, Dan Walters and other
Institute of Agriculture and Natural Resources agricultural
scientists.
Hybrid-Maize lets producers, crop consultants and researchers
use current and historical weather information along with
field-specific details to experiment with various corn
production factors including planting dates, rainfall or
irrigation, fertilizer rates, soil types, hybrid selection and
plant density. These predictions can help corn growers adjust
irrigation and nitrogen applications to boost profits.
"Producers can use the software to evaluate growth at any time
during the season and forecast final yields based on factors
such as historical weather data and past crop performance,"
Dobermann said. "These predictions are particularly useful in
drought conditions because this allows producers to make
informed adjustments on irrigation and other crop inputs."
In the longer term, the software should help users better
understand a field's yield potential, year-to-year yield
variations and how different management schemes might affect
crop performance.
The software has been tested primarily in dryland and irrigated
corn production areas of the nation's Corn Belt.
Dobermann stressed that the software, like all simulation
models, represents a simplification of an actual cropping
system. It does not yet allow assessment of different fertilizer
management options, nor does it account for yield losses due to
weeds, insects, disease and other stresses. However, the
software's ability to combine real-time and long-term weather
data will make it an effective new tool.
Cassman said the Hybrid-Maize software is a major step forward
in helping producers and professionals improve crop management
and profits while also protecting the environment.
"It is becoming increasingly difficult to develop management
guidelines for crop production," he said. "Today we need to
consider not only productivity issues but also environmental
concerns such as water quality and greenhouse gas emissions."
Producers traditionally have to monitor multiple sites over
multiple years to develop a crop management plan, but even five
years of data cannot cover all variations in climate patterns
that occur over time, Cassman said. A simulation model helps
juggle more variables and could be operated by the producers
themselves.
"Hybrid-Maize is the beginning of something transformational in
applied research because it can evaluate a range of management
scenarios and assess risks and benefits that incorporate a
number of complex, interactive factors, including more than 20
years of weather data at some sites," he said. "It will be a
tremendous tool to develop management scenarios for producers at
various locations."
The Hybrid-Maize software is paired with the Expanded Weather
Database, created by the High Plains Regional Climate Center
based at UNL to provide daily and historical weather data.
Current weather data for a particular site can be downloaded
from the climate center's Automated Weather Data Network.
Software users can edit the weather data file by adding their
own rainfall totals.
A free demonstration version of Nebraska Cooperative Extension's
Hybrid-Maize software is available on the Web at
http://www.hybridmaize.unl.edu. A full version is sold as an
online download for $35 or as a CD-ROM bundled with the Expanded
Weather Database for $60 at
http://estore.adec.edu/. A CD-ROM version without the
Expanded Weather Database is available for $40 from Nebraska
Cooperative Extension offices statewide or by mail at
Publications, Room 105, Agricultural Communications Building,
P.O. Box 830918, Lincoln, NE 68583-0918. Those ordering by mail
should ask for item "CD-9 Hybrid Maize" and can either request
an invoice or send a $40 check payable to the University of
Nebraska.
The weather database is also available separately by online
subscription at
http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/data.htm. The Hybrid-Maize research
was conducted in cooperation with IANR's Agricultural Research
Division with grants from the Nebraska Corn Board, the Fluid
Fertilizer Foundation, the Consortium for Agricultural Soil
Mitigation of Greenhouse Gases funded by U.S. Department of
Agriculture, the Phosphate and Potash Institute, and the
Foundation for Agronomic Research. The High Plains Regional
Climate Center provided the historical weather data included in
the model. |