News section

home  |  news  |  forum  |  job market  |  calendar  |  yellow pages  |  advertise on SeedQuest  |  contact us 

 

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada: Pulse and special crops outlook
Canada
September 20, 2005

Total Canadian pulse and special crops production is estimated to increase by 4%, from 2004-05, to 5.43 million tonnes (Mt), based on Statistics Canada’s (STC) July 31 production estimates and AAFC forecasts where STC estimates were not available. Total supply increased by 15% to 6.78 Mt, due to higher production and higher carry-in stocks. This report incorporates STC’s year end carry-out stocks estimates for 2004-05. Exports are forecast to increase by 15% and domestic use by 7% due to stronger demand, but carry-out stocks are also expected to increase. Average prices, over all types, grades and markets, are forecast to increase for chickpeas and mustard seed, decrease for dry peas, lentils, dry beans, canary seed and sunflower seed, and be the same for buckwheat.

STC’s yield estimates are significantly higher than trend for Ontario, Saskatchewan and Alberta, and much below trend for Manitoba. Since the survey was conducted from July 20 to August 5 before the start of harvest, the actual yields for crops in western Canada could be lower than the estimates because of hot and dry weather in late July and early August. Crop abandonment is expected to be slightly lower than normal, except for Manitoba where significantly higher than normal abandonment is expected. For western Canada, harvest progress is about one to two weeks behind normal, but significantly ahead of 2004-05. Harvest progress is about a week ahead of normal for eastern Canada. Harvesting of dry peas and lentils is mostly complete and a significant portion of chickpeas and mustard seed have been harvested. Harvesting of dry beans in eastern Canada is mostly complete, but only a small portion has been harvested in western Canada. Only a small portion of canary seed has been harvested. The buckwheat harvest is expected to start in late September and the sunflower seed harvest in early October. Overall quality is expected to be better than in 2004-05, but generally lower than normal due to rain in large areas of Alberta and Saskatchewan during harvest. Although some late crops could still be damaged by frost, most unharvested crops are sufficiently advanced in development that frost would not damage them. The main factors to watch are precipitation and temperatures during the rest of the harvest period in Canada. Other factors to watch are the exchange rates of the Canadian dollar against the US dollar and other currencies, ocean shipping rates, and growing and harvest conditions in major producing regions, especially United States, India and Australia.

Complete report in PDF format: http://www.seedquest.com/News/releases/2005/pdf/13542.pdf

News release

Other news from this source

13,542

Back to main news page

The news release or news item on this page is copyright © 2005 by the organization where it originated.
The content of the SeedQuest website is copyright © 1992-2005 by SeedQuest - All rights reserved
Fair Use Notice