Brasilia, Brazil
May 1, 2006
USDA/FAS GAIN Report AR 6016: Argentina - Oilseeds and
products annual
Approved by:
Bob Hoff,
U.S. Embassy
Prepared by:
Kari Rojas
Report Highlights
Soybean area and production are forecast to increase slightly in
marketing year (MY) 2006/07 to 41.3 million metric tons (MMT)
and 15.5 million hectares (MHAS) respectively. Peanut and
sunflower production and area is forecast unchanged.
Executive Summary
Argentina oilseed production will
continue to expand in the coming year but at a lesser rate than
previous years. While there is still area available for
expansion in the Northern provinces (Salta, Jujuy, Chaco, etc.),
as oilseed prices stabilize, and land and input prices increase,
the viability of putting these lands in production will be
seriously scrutinized by potential investors.
Argentine producers are
excellent farm managers and have turned to contract labor and
onfarm storage alternatives to increase their efficiency.
Instead of investing in harvesting and planting machinery,
producers contract out these tasks and transportation to port,
to reduce their operating costs. Silo bags are still very much
in use in the country side, giving producers the ability to hold
on to their production until prices are as high as possible.
Since Argentine oilseed
production is heavily dependent on exports, the future of
Argentine competitiveness in the world oilseed market will
depend greatly on the exchange rate. Since the devaluation of
2001, Argentina’s exchange rate has remained near, or above, 3
pesos per dollar. At this rate Argentine exports are competitive
but should the rate strengthen relative to the dollar, the
Argentine agricultural sector could begin to feel pressure,
similar to what is occurring to Brazilian producers, whose
profits have declined significantly as the value of soybeans has
fallen.
Full report in PDF format:
http://www.fas.usda.gov/gainfiles/200605/146187634.pdf
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