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Monsanto expects to double gross profit over the next five years; Management team updates guidance for fiscal year 2008

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St. Louis, Missouri
November 8, 2007

Monsanto Company (NYSE: MON) expects to double the gross profit potential of its business from the end of
2007 through 2012, officials will tell investors today. The company's growth is expected to result in an ongoing earnings per share (EPS) growth rate in the mid-to-high teens over the next five years.

Monsanto's management team also will note that, by the end of 2012, the free cash flow generation of its business, exclusive of potential acquisitions, will be in the range of $2 billion to $2.2 billion. This growth is expected to provide its business with greater flexibility for additional acquisitions, technology investments, dividends and share repurchases.

Monsanto executives will provide an overview of its five-year growth plan as part of the company's biennial U.S. Investor Day meeting held in St. Louis.
The event will include presentations by Hugh Grant, chairman, president and chief executive officer; Robb Fraley, executive vice president and chief technology officer; Brett Begemann, executive vice president; Carl Casale, executive vice president; and Terry Crews, executive vice president and chief financial officer.

"Backed by the growing demand for our seed and trait products, our business is poised for significant organic growth between now and the end of 2012,"
said Grant. "We believe we can effectively double the gross profit potential of our business just with the businesses we have in hand today while continuing to return value to our shareowners."

As part of the event, Monsanto executives will discuss how Monsanto's seeds and traits business is expected to be shaped by six key factors over the next five years. These factors include: its U.S. and international corn seeds and traits business; its soybean business; its cotton business; its Seminis fruit and vegetable seed business; and its R&D pipeline. Within these factors, the company expects:

  • U.S. and international corn seed businesses will continue to be significant catalysts for growth. Monsanto expects that share for its DEKALB brand could grow by as much as 10 percentage points in the United States through 2012. In key international markets, the company expects to realize annual gains of 1-to-2 percentage points in most regions through 2012.
  • Global corn traits business is poised for expanded growth from continued adoption of current and future stacked trait offerings. By 2010, Monsanto expects to introduce its SmartStax product. This product is expected to expand the gross margin potential of its traits business and access an opportunity of 90 million to 108 million acres worldwide. This product will also serve as a platform for future corn trait offerings like drought-tolerance and nitrogen-utilization beyond 2012.
  • Soybean business is on track for a one million to two million acre controlled commercial release of its Roundup RReady2Yield technology in 2009, with a full-scale launch of five million to six million acres in 2010. The introduction of Roundup RReady2Yield soybeans will serve as the platform for up to five new stacked trait offerings in soybeans by 2012.
  • Cotton business remains focused on converting the Delta and Pine Land portfolio to its double stack of second-generation technologies. By 2012, pending regulatory approvals, the company believes this business will be selling stacked, second-generation offerings in both its India and U.S. cotton business, effectively doubling the gross profit contribution of this business.
  • Seminis business has the potential to expand its margins from 44 percent in fiscal year 2007 to 65 percent by the end of 2012. The company believes its fruit and vegetable business can realize a compound annual growth rate for sales of six percent based on a stronger product mix, new and improved product offerings and pricing approaches more in line with the value the products deliver.
  • R&D pipeline is poised to deliver multiple projects that offer a high gross sales opportunity leading up to 2012 and beyond. By 2020, Monsanto believes that its pipeline will create an additional $5 billion in gross sales at the farmgate, of which more than three-quarters of this value is incremental. Between now and 2020, Monsanto expects to introduce six blockbuster projects with an estimated gross sales opportunity of $300 million to $500 million as well as one mega-blockbuster project with an estimated gross sales opportunity of more than $1 billion.

"While we've historically talked a lot about the products we're delivering, we're now focused on the platforms that our business is poised to deliver between now and the end of 2012," said Grant. "We believe these platforms, like SmartStax in corn and Roundup RReady2Yield in soybeans, have the potential to effectively change the competitive dynamics within the agriculture industry and pave the way for farmers to get more benefit out of every seed."

Monsanto Leaders Increase Guidance for Fiscal Year 2008

As part of the event, Monsanto's Crews will announce that the company expects its first quarter 2008 EPS to be approximately 35 cents, or more than double the 16 cents the company realized in the first quarter of fiscal year 2007.
As a result of the strong quarter, the company will announce that its full-year 2008 EPS guidance, both on a reported and ongoing basis, has changed to the upper end of its previously announced range of $2.20 to $2.40.

Crews will also note that Monsanto's guidance for free cash flow for fiscal year 2008 will remain in the range of $800 million to $900 million. The company expects net cash provided by operating activities to be in the range of $1.75 billion to $1.85 billion, and net cash required by investing activities to be approximately $950 million for fiscal year 2008. (For a reconciliation of free cash flow, see note 1.)

Investor Meeting Webcast and Materials

A live webcast of Monsanto's investor briefing is available through Monsanto's web site at: http://www.monsanto.com/investors. Materials related to today's event posted at this site include: the presentation agenda, briefing slides, downloadable audio files of each presentation, and speaker bios at this site. Following the live broadcast, a replay of the webcast will be available on the Monsanto web site for two weeks. To access presentation slides and the simultaneous audio webcast of the presentation, visitors may need to download Windows Media Player™ prior to listening to the webcast.

Monsanto Company is a leading global provider of technology-based solutions and agricultural products that improve farm productivity and food quality.
For more information on Monsanto, see: http://www.monsanto.com/.

DEKALB, Roundup RReady2Yield, Seminis, SmartStax and YieldGard VT PRO are trademarks owned by Monsanto Company and its wholly owned subsidiaries. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.


Monsanto Company
Selected Financial Information
(Dollars in millions)
Unaudited

1. Reconciliation of Free Cash Flow: Free cash flow represents the total of cash flows from operating activities and investing activities, as reflected in the Statements of Consolidated Cash Flows presented in this release. With respect to the fiscal year 2008 free cash flow target, Monsanto does not include any estimates or projections of Net Cash Provided (Required) by Financing Activities because in order to prepare any such estimate or projection, Monsanto would need to rely on market factors and conditions that are outside of its control.

Fiscal Year 12 Months Ended
2008 Aug. 31,
Guidance 2007 2006
 

                                 Fiscal Year         12 Months Ended
                                     2008                Aug. 31,
                                   Guidance         2007          2006


  Net Cash Provided by
   Operating Activities        $1,750 - $1,850    $1,854        $1,674
  Net Cash Required by
   Investing Activities             (950)         (1,911)         (625)
  Free Cash Flow                 $800 - $900        $(57)       $1,049
  Net Cash Required by
   Financing Activities              N/A            (583)         (117)
  Effect of Exchange Rate
   Changes on Cash and
   CashEquivalents                   N/A              46             3
  Net Increase (Decrease) in
   Cash and Cash Equivalents         N/A           $(594)         $935
  Cash and Cash Equivalents at
   Beginning of Period               N/A          $1,460          $525
  Cash and Cash Equivalents
   at End of Period                  N/A            $866        $1,460

 

 

 

 

 

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