Washington, DC
December 1, 20062006/07
world cotton production is forecast at 24.9 million tons, up 1%
from last season. Most cotton has been harvested in the northern
hemisphere, where
2006/07 production is projected at 22.7 million tons, up 270,000
tons from last season. Cotton area in the southern hemisphere is
expected to increase by 6% to 3.3 million hectares, but the
average yield is forecast to decline by 9% to 647 kilograms per
hectare. As a result, 2006/07 production in the southern
hemisphere is projected at 2.2 million tons, down 3% from last
season.
Driven by China (Mainland), world cotton consumption is forecast
at 25.5 million tons in 2006/07, up 3% from last season. World
cotton imports are projected at 9.0 million tons in 2006/07,
down 5% from the record reached in
2005/06 due to a projected decline in imports by China
(Mainland).
WORLD COTTON SUPPLY AND DISTRIBUTION
. |
2005/06 |
2006/07 |
2007/08 |
2005/06 |
2006/07 |
2007/08 |
. |
Million Tons |
Million Bales |
Production |
24.66 |
24.9 |
25.1 |
113.3 |
114 |
115 |
Consumption |
24.77 |
25.5 |
26.1 |
113.8 |
117 |
120 |
Exports |
9.69 |
9.0 |
9.4 |
44.5 |
42 |
43 |
Ending Stocks |
11.93 |
11.6 |
10.9 |
54.8 |
53 |
50 |
Stock adjustment |
0.30 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
1 |
1 |
Cotlook A Index* |
56.15 |
56* |
62* |
56.15 |
56* |
62* |
|
* Season-average Cotlook A Index
(U.S. cents per pound). The price projections for 2006/07 and
2007/08 are obtained based on the year-to-year price
differentials projected by the ICAC Price Model (based on annual
variations in net China (Mainland) trade and world-less-China
(Mainland) stocks-to-use ratio). estimate.
PDF version:
http://www.icac.org/cotton_info/publications/press/2006/pr_december_06.pdf
The International Cotton
Advisory Committee is an association of 41 governments of
cotton producing and consuming countries. The Secretariat of the
Committee publishes information related to world cotton
production, supply, demand and prices, and provides technical
information on cotton production technology. |